One number. Four components.
Every creator on Veltrace gets a Deal Signal Score between 0 and 100. It doesn't measure follower count or total views — it measures whether things are accelerating right now. Is this creator gaining ground, or losing it?
The score combines four signals, weighted so growth acceleration and engagement carry the most influence. We don't publish the exact weighting or formula — partly to keep the model resilient to gaming, and partly because it's tuned continuously as we see more outcomes.
What we actually measure.
Is the creator growing faster than they were last week? We look at the rate of change in subscribers and views, not the absolute numbers. A creator going from 1K to 2K subscribers is more interesting than one going from 900K to 901K. This is the strongest-weighted signal.
Are their viewers actually watching and reacting, or just scrolling past? We look at like rates, comment ratios, and watch-time signals. A creator with 50K subscribers and high engagement often outperforms one with 500K and none.
Are they showing up reliably? Consistency predicts longevity. We track upload frequency over 30 days and flag gaps. A creator who posts 3x a week, every week, is a better bet than someone who posts 10 videos in one burst then disappears.
Are they active on multiple platforms? Reach compounds. A creator who is building on YouTube and Twitch simultaneously has a larger addressable audience and is less exposed to platform risk. We reward multi-platform activity — this signal carries the least weight of the four.
Muskaan daily vlog — 22 April 2026.
Here's a real example showing how the score is calculated. On 22 April 2026, Veltrace scored Muskaan daily vlog at 82. The key thing to understand: her subscriber count was completely flat at the time. Traditional tools would have shown nothing. Veltrace flagged it as Signal Confirmed — a SIGN window.
| Component | Score | What it showed |
|---|---|---|
| Growth Acceleration | 71 | Moderate — subscriber growth flat but view velocity rising |
| Engagement Stability | 94 | Exceptional — comment-to-view ratio top 3% of tracked creators |
| Posting Consistency | 88 | Very high — 28 posts in 30 days, no gaps |
| Cross-Platform | 61 | Active on YouTube only at this stage |
Subscribers were flat on 22 April. Traditional tools would have missed this. Veltrace flagged it because engagement quality and posting rhythm were both accelerating. Within 90 days, subscriber growth followed.
How accurate is it?
Since January 2026, Veltrace has called 31 creator accelerations. 28 of those creators grew their subscriber base by 20% or more within 90 days. That's a 90% hit rate on the signal, across creators we had no prior relationship with.
We don't claim to be perfect. The 3 misses were real — one creator had an engagement spike that turned out to be a viral controversy, and two others stalled after initially strong signals. We track every call publicly on our Proof page.
Momentum scores and conviction ratings are analytical outputs based on available platform data. They identify creators showing conditions historically associated with growth acceleration — not guarantees of future performance.